Ezinye iilwimi kule ndawo zingaguqulelwa ngematshini kwaye zingaquka iimposiso. Uncedo lokuyilungisa Funda isiNgesi esibhaliweyo
Iindlela zesixeko ezikhanyayo ngemini, zibonakala kwisikhululo senqwelomoya esiphakathi mazwe.
Inkqubo eluhlaza · Ukhetho lombane

Uluhlu lweeNkonzo

Ii-power stations ezibiza kakhulu zingaba yizo esizikhe sazivelisa. Ukufudumeza amanzi ngemini endaweni yesithandathu, okanye ukuhlawulisa imoto xa umoya ubetha, akuyi kukwenza amandla amatsha, kodwa kunokunciphisa ii-peak, i-carbon kunye nee-bills. Apha indlela esebenza ngayo, into eyenziweyo nento engalunganga kuyo.

NASA

Yonke inkqubo yombane kufuneka ilungelene nonikezelo kunye nesicelo ngasesibini. Kwikhulu elidlulileyo oko kwakwenziwa ngokutshintsha unikezelo: ikhonkrithi, igesi kunye neenkqubo ze-hydro zalandela nantoni na abantu bakhetha ukuyitshintshela. Umoya nelanga akufuneki kucaciswe ukuba xa kwenziwa, ngoko ke i-grid ecocekileyo ifuna enye inxenye ye-equation ukuba ihambe kakuhle. Ukutshintsha kweemfuneko kuthetha ukutshintsha ukuba sisebenzisa umbane, kwaye ngamanye amaxesha ukuba sisebenzisa kangakanani, ngokuphendula kwixabiso, iimpawu okanye ulawulo oluzenzekelayo, ngaphandle kokungasebenzisi inkonzo esiyifunayo: amanzi ashushu, indlu epholileyo, imoto ehlawuliswe, izitya ezicocekileyo.

Le yindawo enye yokusetyenziswa kwamandla kuluhlu lwethu eyenzanga amandla naphi na. Leyo nto ibalulekileyo. Iyure yekilowatt esuka kwinqanaba eliphezulu lemini ukuya kwisidlo sangokuhlwa esikhanyayo singatshintsha ukuphuma kwegesi kunye nokukhusela amandla okukhanya kwelanga anokuthi anqunyelwe ngaphandle, ngexabiso lolawulo kunye nexabiso elifanelekileyo. Sele isebenza kwinqanaba lezigidi zabantu. Amanqanaba ayo kukholo, uvavanyo kunye nobubele beabantu abacela ukuba bathathe inxaxheba, hayi ifizikhi.

~200 GWof cost-effective flexible demand in the US by 2030, about 20% of peak load (I-Brattle, ngo-2019)
2.6 yezigidiBritish meters signed up to cut use at peak times in winter 2023/24, delivering over 3.7 GWh (2024)
40%ixabiso elipheleleyo le-gas peak: yintoni ekufuneka inkqubo yombane obonakalayo ebekwe ekhaya ihlawule ngayo uncedo oluchaziweyoBrattle, 2023)
0 kWhUkulungelelaniswa kuqhuba ukufuna; kuvavanywa ngamanqanaba, i-carbon kunye nelahleko ekufuneka

Yintoni

Utshintsho lokufuna luquka konke okuvumela ukusetyenziswa kweebhetri ukuba kulandele ukunikezelwa kunokuba kube ngokwahlukileyo. Abanjiniyela badibanisa iindidi ezine:

  • Shift: Shenxisa ukusetyenziswa kwesinye iyure ngaphandle kokuguqula inani elipheleleyo. Ubushushu betanki yamanzi ashushu emini, ukutshaja imoto ngemini, sebenzisa isitya sokutya xa umoya unamandla.
  • Indlu yokuhlambela: ukunciphisa kusetyenziswa kwexesha elifutshane kwaye uthathe iinkonzo ezincinci, umzekelo umlinganiselo wobushushu ophantsi weqondo elinye ngeyure ngexesha lokunyuka kobusika.
  • Shape: tshintsha imodeli yosuku ngaphaya kweetariphi ezisenza ezinye iiyure zibiza kakhulu kunezinye, ezinjengexesha lokusetyenziswa okanye amaxabiso emizuzu emibini.
  • Shimmy: ngokukhawuleza, ulungelelaniso oluncinci ngaphakathi kweeyure okanye iimizuzu ezinceda ukugcina ukujikeleza kwegridi kuzinzileyo, okunokuthi kwenziwe ngamanzi ashushu, iibhetri kunye nezixhobo zokuqhuba imoto ngaphandle kokuba umntu aqaphele.

Xa amawaka eezixhobo ezinjalo zidityaniswe ngesoftware kwaye zinikezelwa kwigridi njengento enye, isiphumo sibizwa ngokuba yi inkqubo yombane obonakalayo: isebenza njengesikhululo sombane esiphezulu, ngaphandle kokuba yenziwe ngamakhaya. Iinkcukacha ezithe kratya zendawo zichaza ibhokisi yezixhobo epheleleyo kunye nendlela ukulungelelanisa okuhambelanayo nokugcinwa kunye negridi enamandla (Lund et al., 2015; Albadi and El-Saadany, 2008).

Iibhetri ezimbini ezimhlophe zokuhlala zibekwe kumgangatho wegaraji, ezinebhokisi encinci yokutshintsha phantsi.
Iibhetri zokuhlala kumgangatho wegaraji. Idityaniswe ngenkqubo yekhompyutha kunye namawaka amanye, izixhobo ezifana nazo zinokusebenza njengezibane zesibane esibonakalayo. Photo: Rsparks3, CC0

Indlela esebenza ngayo

Igophe leduck. Kwimini yemvula ekhanyayo kwindawo enelanga elininzi, iimfuno ezifunekayo kwezinye izityalo kufuneka zihlangabezane, ezibizwa ngokuba ngumthwalo we-net, zihla phakathi kwemini kwaye ke zinyuka ngokuthe nkqo kusasa xa ilanga liphuma abantu bebuyela ekhaya. Ibekwe ngaphezulu kosuku, i-gophe ibonakala njenge-duck, umfanekiso owenziwe mkhulu ngumsebenzisi we-California grid (CAISO, 2016). I-ramp ethe nkqo yasemini kunye nenqanaba lixesha elibiza kakhulu lokuncedisa; i-midday belly kuthetha ukuba izityalo zelanga zitshixwa, okanye zicinywe, ngenxa yokungabikho kwesidingo.

Imiqolo emide yepaneli zelanga kwiframes zentsimbi ezithe tyaba phezu kwelali eshushu yaseCalifornia phantsi kwelanga eliluhlaza.
Ifama yeTopaz Solar eCalifornia. Kwiintsuku ezikhanyayo zesikhumbuzo, ilanga lingakwenza ngaphezulu kweemfuneko zegridi emini, kwaye imveliso yayo iwela kude njengoko ukufuna kunyuka ebusuku. Umfanekiso: uSarah Swenty/USFWS, ipropathi yomphakathi

I-aritmetics elula. Amanani amathathu achaza into eyenza ukujika, kwaye umxelela ophezulu ubala imifanekiso yobungakanani bedolophu.

  • Umthwalo ophezulu we-net, isithuba esikhulu phakathi kokufuna nomoya kunye nelanga. Imisela ukuba zingaphi izityalo zegesi, iibhetri okanye izinto ezithunyelwa ngaphandle kufuneka zigcinwe zilungele. Ukushenxisa umthwalo ngaphandle kwemini kunciphisa.
  • Ukucinywa, amandla acocekileyo akhiqizwa kodwa angasetyenziswanga. Ukushenxisa umthwalo kwiyure ezikhanyayo zisebenzisa le nto.
  • Izinga lokuxhathisa i-carbon, umyinge wezinto eziphumayo nge-kWh esetyenziswayo. Ukuba isithuba sizaliswe ngegesi malunga ne-450 g ye-CO2 kwi-kWh nganye, i-kWh nganye esuka kwisithuba ukuya kwinto engaphezulu igcina malunga ne-450 g.

Kwimini ebonisa, ukushenxisa umthwalo wesine osebenzisa 300 MWh ngosuku, malunga neshumi elinanye lesicelo somzi, kunyusa inqanaba lokuphuma kwelanga apho igesi kufuneka igubungele ukusuka kwi-112 MW ukuya kwi-61 MW, ikunciphisa uxinzelelo lwelanga nomoya olusuka kwi-580 ukuya kwi-380 MWh, kwaye ikhupha uxinzelelo lwecarbon ukusuka kwi-130 ukuya kwi-90 g nge-kWh. Inani elisetyenziswayo lifanayo. Iimodeli zibonisa, kodwa indlela yokusebenza yiyona isebenza kwigridi exhomekeke kuyo.

Umqhubi wegridi kwifowuni ekwidesktop enezibonisi ezininzi, phambi kwedonga lescreen esikhulu esibonisa icharti namaphu.
Umqhubi wegumbi lokulawulwa kwiNkundla yoBuchule beElektri yeTexas. Abaqhubi begridi kufuneka balinganise unikezelo nokufuna nganye iyure. Photo: Dpysh w, CC BY 3.0

Kutheni ezinye izithuthi zilungele. Isithuthi esilula sigcina amandla okanye sinecala kwinkqubo yayo:

Isilinda samanzi ashushu esimhlophe esinemibhobho yekhofi kwikhabhathi.
Isilinda samanzi ashushu esebenza ngeemoto endlwini yaseUK. I-200 litre yetanki eshushu nge 40 °C igcina malunga ne9 kWh yobushushu: ibhetri esele ifakwe. Photo: Julie Anne Workman, CC BY-SA 3.0
  • Ii-heater zamanzi ziibhetri ezishushu: i-200 litre yetanki eshushu nge-40 °C igcina malunga ne-9 kWh. Ukufudumeza kusasa endaweni yokuphuma kwelanga akutshintshanga nto kwishawa.
  • Iimoto eziqhuba ngeebhetri ihlala ibekwe kwindawo ekhuselekileyo ixesha elide, kwaye uqhubo oluqhelekileyo lwemihla ngemihla oluyi-30 ukuya kwi-50 km lufuna kuphela malunga ne-5 ukuya kwi-10 kWh. Imoto exhunywe kwi-intanethi iyure ezilishumi kufuneka ihlawulise enye okanye ezimbini zazo, kwaye ingakhetha enye.
  • Iipompo zobushushu kwikhaya elikhuselwe kakuhle liyakwazi ukufudumeza ngaphambili ikhaya emva kwemini kwaye liqhubeke nokuhamba ngesantya esiphezulu semini ngobunzima besakhiwo njengendawo yokugcina.
  • Ii-dishwashers, ii-washing machines kunye nee-dryers zifuna ixesha lokugqiba, hayi ixesha lokuqala.

Ulawulo, hayi amandla okufuna. Ukucela abantu ukuba bajonge i-grid ayipheli. Iimbali eziphumelelayo ezilinganisa zidibanisa ixabiso elicacileyo okanye inkxaso kunye nokuqhuba ngokuzenzekelayo: umlawuli weqondo lobushushu owaziyo, umqhubi okanye umlawuli wokushisa amanzi olandela uphawu, nolawulo olulula. KwiNkonzo yoKhuseleko lweMimiselo yaseBritane ngaphezulu kwe-99% yabathathi-nxaxheba kwisikhumbuzo se2023/24 baphendula ngesandla (NESO, 2024), eyona nto ibalulekileyo kuthungelwano lwamazwe ngamazwe kunye nesizathu sokuba umatshini akwenzeki: amazinyo ahamba, abalawuli abaya.

Isixhobo esincinci sobushushu esimnyama esizimeleyo esinesiboniso sedijithali esibonisa amaqondo angama-22, kwidonga eliqhelekileyo.
Isixhobo esizimeleyo sokufudumeza umoya. Ukusebenza ngokuzenzekelayo okulandelela ixabiso okanye umqondiso wegridi, ngokufaka ngaphezulu okulula, kuqhubeka nophendula emva kokuba abantu bavale ukujonga. Photo: Jiří Sedláček, CC BY-SA 4.0

Iimida: ezizisiseko nezokusetyenziswa

Izinto ezichaphazela ukubonakala kwezinto. Ukutshintsha kuhamba kumiselwe yindawo yokugcina kwinkonzo: iyure eninzi kangakanani itekisi ihlala ishushu, ixesha elide kangakanani indlu ihlala ipholile, inani elikhulu kangakanani imoto ifuna ngobusuku. Inokutshintsha amandla ngeyure, ngamanye amaxesha ngobusuku kodwa hayi ukusuka ebusika ukuya ebusika. Ayikwazi ukubuyisela kwiveki yemozulu ezolileyo, enesibhakabhaka: esifuna ukugcina, ukwakha ngokuqinileyo okanye ukuthunyelwa.

Izinto abantu nabarhwebi abazithintelayo:

  • Ukuthatha inxaxheba nokuxinana. Iinkqubo ezinikezelweyo zisebenza kakuhle amaxesha amaninzi ebusika. Iisicelo zosuku ngalunye ngaphandle kokusebenza ngokuzenzekelayo zilahla abantu.
  • Ingxaki yesiseko. Ukufumana umntu ohlawula ukuyisebenzisa ngaphantsi, kufuneka uqikelele into abaya kuyisebenzisa ukuba kungenjalo. Amagqabantshintshi aphambili angaba ngumdla, kwaye kunzima ukuwavavanya kwikhaya elinye.
  • Ukubuyela umva kunye neempendulo ezintsha. Umthwalo otshintshiweyo ngaphandle kweyure enye uhlala kwinye. Ukuba amawaka ee-chargers aqala kwixesha elinye ixesha eliphantsi liqala, zingavelisa inqwelo entsha ephezulu kwiintambo zesixeko. Iinkqubo ezilungileyo zihamba ngokujikeleza kwaye ziyi randomize.
  • Ubulungisa. Iindlu ezineemoto, iipompo zobushushu kunye neemitha eziqhelekanga zingafumana imali ngokulula; ezo zingenazo azikwazi. Ixabiso alifanele liphazamisile abantu abangakwazi ukutshintsha, njengokuba kulabo abakhathalela umntu endlwini.
  • Ukhuseleko lwedatha kunye nokhuseleko lwe-cyber. Inkqubo enokuthi itshintshe iisixhobo ezizigidi ziyinjongo. Iinkqubo eziqhelekileyo, ukufihla kunye nokukhuselwa kwangaphakathi kubalulekile.
  • Ukulinganisa nokulinganisa. Ngaphandle kweemitha zemizuzu emibini kunye neemithetho yentengiso ehlawulisa ukutshintsha, nakwiindlu ezifunayo akufuneki zinikezelwe ngemali.
Iiposti ezimbini zokuhlawulisa imoto ye-elekthronikhi ecaleni kweendawo eziphawulwe zokubeka imoto kwindawo yokupaka, neendlu ngasemva.
Iindawo zokuhlawula imoto yasekhaya eSt Ives, Cornwall. Ukuba iziqhagamsheli ezininzi ziqala ngexesha apho ixesha eliphantsi liqala khona, zingavelisa inqanaba elitsha lokuphakama kwintambo yentsimbi yasekhaya; iinkqubo ezilungileyo zihamba ngokujikelezayo kwaye zikhethele ixesha lokuqala. Photo: Mutney, CC BY 4.0

Iiprojekthi ezibonakalayo,

InkquboIzinto ezilindelweyoIcebo
Inkonzo yoLuhlu lweMimiselo eNtsha yaseBritane, ibusika 2022/23Over 1.6 million households and businesses through 31 providers took part in 22 events and cut consumption by about 3,300 MWh. Average payment: £3,000 per MWh in test events, £4,559 per MWh in the two live events of January 2023. Response in live events was 20% higher than in testsIngxelo yonyaka obandayo we-NESO, 2023
Inkonzo yoLuhlu lweMimiselo eNkulu yaseBritane, ibusika 2023/242.6 million meters (99% domestic) through 48 providers; 14 tests and 2 live events; over 3.7 GWh delivered with a peak of more than 400 MW; total spend £11.9 million; in competitive tests the average accepted bid fell to £1,111 per MWh, with bids as low as £150Ingxelo yesiphelo seminyaka ye-NESO, 2024
Ingxelo yokufunyanwa kweenkonzo ze-US kunye neenkqubo zombane ezibonakalayoAn estimated 30 to 60 GW of virtual power plant capacity already operates in the US, mostly in demand-response programmes used a few times a yearI-US DOE, Iindlela zokunyusa ishishini: Izityalo zeNkqubo yeVirtual Power, 2023
US potential by 2030Ii-200 GW zoxinzelelo olunoxanduva olufanelekileyo, i-20% yenqanaba eliphezulu, ngaphezulu kweeyure ezintathu ze-60 GW yokufunyanwa koncedo olukhoyo ngoku, elingana ne- $15 billion ngonyaka kwiindleko ezithintelweBrattle, 2019
US target80 ukuya kwi-160 GW yezixhobo zombane ezibonakalayo ngo-2030, i-10 ukuya kwi-20% yokufuna okuphezulu, ukulondoloza ngexabiso le- $10 billion ngonyakaUS DOE, 2023

Inkonzo yaseBritane yiyo ecacileyo kakhulu kwirekhodi elibanzi lamazwe aphesheya de kube ngoku. Kwiintsuku ezimbini zehlobo yasuka kwisicwangciso esikhawulezayo yaba yisixhobo esiqhelekileyo: inani lababoneleli lakhula nge-58%, ukubhaliswa kwafike kuma-2.6 yezigidi zeemitha, xa ababoneleli befuna ukulwa kuvavanyo ixabiso eliphakathi elinokuvunyelwa lihla ukuya malunga ne-£1,100 ngeMWh, ngaphezu kwe-£3,000 kuvavanyo lwesivalo sokuqala. Ibonisa ubungakanani: 400 MW kwinqanaba eliphezulu limalunga nobukhulu beyunithi enkulu eqhutywa ngegesi, inikezelwe ngamawaka amabini eekhaya, amanye asebenza ngesandla.

Imoto encinci ye-electric ixhunywe kwisixhobo sokutshaja umthi phambi kwendlu yakudala.
Imoto ye-electric itshaja ekhaya. KwiNkonzo yoBuchule beMimiselo yaseBritane, ngaphezulu kwe-99% yababandakanyekayo kwisikhumbuzo se2023/24 baphendula ngesandla; isixhobo sokutshaja esilandela umqondiso siphendula ngokwaso. Photo: Mario Roberto Durán Ortiz, CC BY-SA 4.0

Ixabiso

Ukunqunyulwa akuthengwa ngekilowatt-iyure njengemveliso yesikhululo sezixhobo. Ithengwa ngekilowatt yesantya esiphezulu esiyisusayo, ngonyaka, kuba oko kulapho ifaka khona: izityalo kunye neebhetri ezidityanisiweyo zilungiselelwe ukuba zihlale zilungile kwiiveki ezimbalwa.

Ukhetho lokugubungela i-peakIxabisoIcebo
Inkqubo yokunyusa igesi, entsha$0.110 to $0.228 nge-kWh eyenziweyo, isebenza kuphelaLazard LCOE+, 2024
I-gas peak, ibhetri encinci yezixhobo kunye neVPP yokuhlala, 400 MW yokunyaniseka kwemodeli yesixhobo se-USIxabiso elipheleleyo leVPP kwinkonzo limalunga ne-40% yepeaker yegesi kunye ne-60% yebhetri. Ukubalwa kweemibhobho nokuphinda kusebenze, ixabiso elipheleleyo lonyaka limalunga $43 million for gas, $29 yezigidi zeebhetri kunye ne-$2 yezigidi zeVPPBrattle, Real Reliability, 2023
Ukunciphisa iimfuno zosapho ezikhawulezayo, eBritane£1,111 ukuya kwi-£4,559 ngeMWh enikezelweyo, kwiiyure ezimbalwaNESO, 2023 no-2024
Umgangatho welanga kwisakhiwo, inqanaba lethu lonyaka$0.19 per kWh central; commercial rooftop $0.09 ukuya kwi-$0.20Imodeli yethu ye-Fan Wall; Lazard, 2026

Izifundo ezimbini ziphuma kule teyisi. Okukuqala, nge-kWh nganye, ukuncipha kwexesha eliphezulu kubukeka kubiza kakhulu, kodwa inkqubo yokukhupha amandla iyabiza kakhulu nge-kWh nganye kuba isebenza rhoqo; nge-kW nganye yokuthembela, amakhaya alula yindawo efanelekileyo kwimfundo engaphezulu, kwaye uBrattle uqikelela ukuba ukubekwa kwe60 GW US kungahlangabezana neemfuno zokuthembeka ezizayo ze $15 to $35 yezigidigidi ngaphantsi kweminyaka emihlanu kunezinye iindlela. Okulandelayo, ukutshintsha kwezinto akuyi kuthelekiswa nesicwangciso sethu sokukhanya kwesitena, sigqiba inkqubo. Ilanga livelisa kakhulu emini; ukujika-jika kutshintshela ukusebenzisana kwezi yure, okunyusa ixabiso lepaneli nganye kwaye kunciphise imfuneko yebhetri.

Iipaneli zelanga ezikwizinto eziphezulu zomgca weendlu ezineetafile enye ecaleni kwendlela kunye ne-green edge.
Izinto eziphezulu zelanga ezikwizinto eziphezulu zasekhaya eCaldicot, Wales. Ukushenxisa ukusetyenziswa kwiyure ezikhanyayo kukhupha ixabiso lepaneli nganye. Photo: Jaggery, CC BY-SA 2.0

apho ingaphumelela khona, nalapho ingaphumelelanga

Inokufumana:

  • Iigridi ezinelanga elininzi, apho ixabiso lemini lihla likhulu kwaye inqanaba lemini liphezulu.
  • Iindlu ezinesifudumezi se-electric, iinqanawa zamanzi ashushu, iipompo ze-heat okanye iimoto ze-electric, umthwalo ogcina amandla ngokuqhelekileyo.
  • Iinethiwekhi zangaphakathi ezikufutshane nemida yazo, apho ukuphatha xa iinqwelomoya zihlawulisa kunokubeka phambili iintambo ezintsha kunye neetransformers; i-US DOE iphawula ukuba uvavanyo lwaseCalifornia lufumanisa ukuba ukuhlawulisa ngokulula kunokunciphisa intlawulo yonikezelo ngo-2035 ukusuka kwi- $50 billion to $15 ukuya kwi-$20 yezigidigidi.
  • Iinkampani ezinenkqubo zobushushu: iindawo zokugcinwa kobushushu, ukutywina amanzi, ukushisa nokupholisa iinqanawa ezinkulu.

Akukho nto iphumelelayo:

  • Ixesha elide elizolileyo, elimnyama. Iiyure ezitshintshiweyo azikwazi ukugubungela iveki engenamoya ebusika.
  • Izithuthi ezimele ziqhube ngoku: izibhedlele, ukukhanya, ukupheka, iinjineli ezininzi kwixesha elifutshane.
  • Ngaphaya kokulinganisela kunye nemithetho efanelekileyo. Xa imitha ifunda kabini ngenyanga kwaye iindleko zithe nkqo, akukho nto yokuphendula kuyo kwaye akukho ndlela yokufumana imali.
Iyunithi engaphandle emnyama yepompo yobushushu enesibhakabhaka esijikelezayo, ihlala kwipad phakathi kweengcambu.
Iyunithi yangaphandle yepompo yobushushu. Amakhaya aneepompo zobushushu, iinqanawa zamanzi ashushu kunye neemoto ze-electric zineendawo ezininzi zokutshintsha ubushushu: indlu ekhuselwe kakuhle ingafudumeza phambi kokuba ifike emva kwemini kwaye ihlale phantsi xa kugqityiwe ukufudumeza. Photo: Tony Webster, CC BY 4.0

Izinto eziqinisekisiweyo, ezinokwenzekayo

Iqinisekisiwe: amawaka eendlu ziya kuphendula kwiziganeko zexesha eliphezulu xa zinikezelwa ngemali (iBritane eNkulu, 2022 ukuya ku-2024); ii-heater zamanzi, i-thermostat, iziqhagamsheli kunye neebhetri zingalawulwa ngokude kwinqanaba; iinkqubo zombane ezibonakalayo sele zibonelela ngamawaka e-gigawatts e-US; ukutshintshela umthwalo kwiiyure ezingaphezulu kunokunciphisa ukucinezela nokukhishwa xa inkqubo encinci iyisinyithi esiphilayo.

Ingalindelekanga: ukuba ukutshintsha kwezinto ekhaya ngokuzenzekelayo kungakuthembela njengenkqubo yombane yokufezekisa ukufikelela kwizixhobo (umzekelo weBrattle, asikude kube yiminyaka emihlanu yedatha yokusebenza); ukuba ukutshintsha kwezinto kungabonelela nge-10 ukuya kwi-20% yesidingo esiphezulu ngo-2030 e-US; ukuba amakhaya amaninzi aneepompo zobushushu kunye neemoto ze-electric ziya kuvuma ulawulo oluzenzekelayo ukuba ukutshintsha izinto ngaphandle kokusetyenziswa kwamandla kulula kwaye iindleko zibonakala.

Izigqibo ezimiselweyo: unyaka wonke, ukutshintsha kwezinto ngemihla ukusuka kumakhaya amaninzi ngaphandle kokuxinana; iziphumo ezifanelekileyo zasekhaya ezingasebenzisi izixhobo eziguqukayo; utshintsho olukhulu lwezinto ngaphandle kwemingcipheko entsha yokhuseleko.

Imibuzo yophando oluvulekileyo

  • Kufuneka kuqikelelwa njani i isiseko ngokuchanekileyo nokungabizi kakhulu kwikhaya, kwaye ngaba kukho impazamo eninzi eyakuvunyelwa?
  • How many events per year will people accept, and how does automation change that?
  • Sithintela njani iipeki zokubuyela umva ezihambelanayo xa izixhobo ezininzi ziphendula kwixabiso elifanayo?
  • Yintoni i-thermal flexibility eyiyo yamakhaya aqhelekileyo aneepompo zobushushu, kwaye itshintsha njani ngokukhusela ubushushu kunye nobushushu bengaphandle?
  • Yintoni inkqubo yexabiso edibanisa iinzuzo ngokuchanekileyo nabantu abangakwazi ukutshintshela?
  • Ulawulo lweeNkonzo iqinisekisiwe kusetyenziswa kwinethiwekhi yendawo, hayi kuphela kwigridi yamazwe ngamazwe.
Umguquli kwi-pole yentsimbi engqondweni yekhephu.
Umguquli obekwe kwi-pole eHittisau, Austria. Ukuzinzisa kufuneka kuqinisekiswe kwinethiwekhi zasekhaya ezinjengele, hayi kuphela kwigridi yamazwe ngamazwe. Photo: Asurnipal, CC BY-SA 4.0

Izinto ezifunekayo

Ukwenza ukuba kube lula, imodeli esebenza ngayo ayiyiyo uphawu lwenkqubo yekhompyutha. It is a measured shift of real load on real devices: kWh moved, kW of peak cut, with a comparison group, over a full season. Izixhobo zibiza phantsi; uxinzelelo luyimali.

InkquboUmsebenziUxanduvaIxabiso elipheleleyoIxesha
0. DesignKhetha umthwalo (umzekelo, iithanki zamanzi ashushu), uphawu (ixabiso, uxinzelelo lwe-carbon okanye isiganeko segridi), ukulinganisa, ukwamkela kunye nenkqubo yedatha eneqela lokulawulwaIngaba ifuthe likhulu ngokwaneleyo ukuba lilinganiswe neendawo ezifumanekayo?$5k to $15k1 ukuya kwiinyanga ezi-2
1. Uvavanyo lwebench nekhayaAbalawuli kwizixhobo ezili-5 ukuya kwezi-10, ukulinganisa ngeyure nganye, ukufaka ikhowudiIngaba isixhobo sitshintshela ngokuthembekileyo, kwaye ngaba abantu bangayicima?$10k to $30k3 Iinyanga
2. Imodeli yokusebenza50 ukuya kumakhaya angama-200 aneqela lolawulo oluhambelanayo kwixesha elinye lehlobo okanye lomsitho, uhlalutyo oluzimeleyo lwe-kWh etshintshiweyo ne-kWUlawulo lweeNkonzo zoLuntu$50k to $200k6 ukuya kwiinyanga ezi-9
3. Inkqubo yovavanyo lwentengisoUkufaka amakhaya adityaniswe nenkqubo yomthengisi okanye yomqhubi wegrid kwaye uhlawulelwe ukunikezelwa kweenkonzoImali efunyenwe ngasekhaya, iindleko ngekW-unyaka, ilungelelana nemithetho yentengiso$150k to $500k12 Iinyanga
Imitha ye-elektroniki yombane wekhaya enesiboniso esincinci, ebekwe kwibhodi yemitha.
Imitha ye-elektroniki enamandla. Imodeli esebenza kakuhle ifuna uvavanyo, idatha nganye ngeyure enye evela kumakhaya asemthethweni, xa kuthelekiswa namakhaya angasebenziyo. Photo: RobbieIanMorrison, CC BY 4.0

abafuna

  • Abanjiniyela benkqubo yombane abayazi indlela ukulungelelaniswa okusenziwa ngayo, ukulinganiselwa nokumiselwa.
  • Izinzululwazi zedatha kunye nabaphandi beestatistikhi kwimigca ephambili, amaqela okulawulwa nokuqinisekisa.
  • Abaphandi bendlela yokuziphatha ukuyila iinkonzo abantu bazazi kwaye baqhubeke nokusebenzisa.
  • Izinjiniya ezifakwe ngaphakathi kunye nokhuseleko zezixhobo zolawulo ezikhuselekileyo, ezobuqu nezokusebenza ngaphandle kwe-intanethi.
  • Izikhombisi zobushushu, amanzi ashushu kunye nokuhlawulisa imoto ye-electric.
  • Abaphandi abalawulayo nababoneleli abanokuvula amashishini kumamkeli amancinci alula.
  • Abaququzeleli behlabathi kunye neekomiti zasekhaya abakwaziyo ukuqesha amakhaya ngokuchanekileyo, kubandakanya nalawo aneenzuzo eziphantsi.

Unayo imbono engcono?

Abathile abaxhasi beFoundation banokuba nabaqhagamshelana nabo abanokuva ilizwi elinamandla lengqondo. Ukubekwa, imbono kufuneka isebenze, imodeli yobomi bokwenyani, ngeempawu zayo ezilinganiswa kwisixhobo, hayi ezingenakuqinisekiswa. Ukukhawuleza, oku kuthetha izixhobo ezibonakalayo kwizindlu okanye kumagumbi abonakalayo, nge-kWh elinganiselweyo etshintshiweyo kunye ne-kW yenqanaba eliphezulu lokutywina, xa kuthelekiswa nezindlu ezingazange ziyenze nto. Iimbono zephepha zithandeka kakhulu: ukuba ifizikhi kunye namaxabiso aqinile, sinokuzipapasha apha kwiwebhusayithi. kodwa ukunyusa ikapitali ngaphandle kwemodeli esebenza kakuhle kunzima kakhulu, kwaye akukho nto apha inokuba yithemba lokuxhaswa, ukuphinda kwenziwe okanye ukunikezelwa.

Thumela imbono yakho okanye iziphumo zakho zovavanyo nge ifomu yonikezelo: ingxaki eyenzayo, umthwalo kunye ne-signal, utshintsho olulinganiselweyo okanye oluqikelelwayo, ixabiso eliphakathi kwikW nganye okanye kwikhaya ngalinye, kunye novavanyo oluncinci kakhulu olunokuthi luqinisekise ukuba akunjalo. Kwezinye iinkcazo, bona izinto ezikhethwayo ze-energy xa kuthelekiswa.

IiNkqubo

  1. Iqela leBrattle (Julayi 2019). Isithuba esikhoyo kwilizwe lonke sokuzimela kobunzima: ixabiso kunye nesicwangciso sentengiso ukuya ku-2030.
  2. Hledik, R. noPeters, K., Iqela leBrattle (Meyi 2023). Ukuthembeka Kwenyani: Ixabiso Legunya Elibonakalayo, elilungiselelwe iGoogle.
  3. Isebe leNkqubo yoMmandla wase-US (ngoSeptemba 2023). Iindlela zokunyusa ishishini: iinkqubo ze-Virtual Power.
  4. Umqhubi weNkqubo yoKhuseleko lweNkqubo yeNkqubo (esokuqala i-ESO) (Agasti 2023). Uvavanyo lwenkonzo yotshintsho lokufuna ngobusika 2022/23.
  5. Umqhubi weNkqubo yoMsebenzisi woMmandla (2024). Inkonzo yoLuhlu lweMimiselo yeNtwasahlobo 2023/24 ingxelo yesiphelo seminyaka; inkcukacha zenkonzo.
  6. California ISO (2016). Into ethetha ngayo i-duck curve malunga nokuphatha ingxowa yegreen grid.
  7. Lund, P.D., Lindgren, J., Mikkola, J. noSalpakari, J. (2015). Uhlolo lwenkqubo yolawulo lokusetyenziswa kweenkqubo ze-engineering ukuze kuqinisekiswe amanqanaba aphezulu e-electricity aguqukayo avuselelekayo. IiNkcazo zeNkqubo yoKhuseleko lweNkqubo yeNkqubo 45, 785-807.
  8. U-Albadi, M.H. no-El-Saadany, E.F. (2008). Uluhlu lweendawo ezifanelekileyo zokufaka i-oyile Uphando lweeNkqubo zoMmandla weElekthronikhi 78, 1989-1996.
  9. Lazard (Juni 2024). Ixabiso eliNciphisayo leNkqubo yeNkqubo, uguqulelo 17: ukunyuka kwegesi $110 to $228 ngeMWh. Ushicilelo lukaJuni 2026 lunika uluhlu lwelanga olusetyenziswayo njengexabiso lethu.
  10. Local Solar System Isiseko. I-Fan Wall: ukukhangela umoya ovulekileyo, ixabiso lelanga elingenanto elichazwe nge-$0.19 kwi-kWh nganye.